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Rather than marking a cyclical rebound, 2026 is increasingly deemed a consolidation year, in which diversification-led development becomes more deeply embedded in the region's financial model, lowering dependence on hydrocarbons and increasing strength to external shocks. Projections from major organizations broadly converge on a stronger GCC growth profile in 2026 than in 2025, supported by resistant domestic demand, continued non-oil expansion, and (to varying degrees) a firmer hydrocarbon contribution.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

3.2 percent growth in 2025, accelerating to 4.5 percent in 2026. Sees momentum improving, with GCC output growth predicted to increase from 1.7 percent in 2024 to 3.3 percent on average in 2025, showing a shift toward more positive general conditions.

The IMF's World Economic Outlook (October 2025) tasks worldwide development relieving to 3.1 percent in 2026, with innovative economies around 1.5 percent and emerging market and developing economies simply above 4 percent. On that contrast, a 4.44.5 percent GCC expansion would position the region materially ahead of the world average and slightly above (or broadly in line with) the emerging-market aggregate, enhancing the GCC's status as a relatively high-growth pocketprovided that local risk conditions remain included and reform momentum holds.

Information from the GCC Statistical Center show that non-oil sectors currently represent more than 73 percent of total GDP, a share that has continued to rise as federal governments broaden financial investment in services, facilities, and innovation. According to Oxford Economics, non-energy activity throughout the GCC is forecasted to grow by around 4.1 percent in 2026, supported by strong labor markets, enhancing credit conditions, and increasing financial investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

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Public-sector financial investment and reform remain central to sustaining this pattern. Policy measures intended at attracting foreign direct investment, easing foreign ownership rules, broadening capital markets, and supporting private-sector participation continue to underpin non-oil expansion and decrease the region's exposure to oil price volatility. While hydrocarbons no longer control the growth outlook, oil profits are anticipated to play an encouraging role in 2026.

Oxford Economics expects Brent crude costs to fall listed below USD 60 per barrel in early 2026, restricting the near-term contribution of oil extraction to GDP. Nevertheless, oil supply is anticipated to rise again in the 2nd half of the year, with a full relaxing of remaining production caps likely by mid-2027.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Macroeconomic conditions throughout the GCC remain broadly supportive of development. Inflation is expected to remain low, with the IMF forecasting typical inflation of 2 percent throughout the area in 2026. Stable rates are helping protect real family incomes and underpin consumer costs, which Oxford Economics anticipates to grow by an average of 3.5 percent over 20262027.